RECIPIENT · DECISION BRIEF · ANCHOR 0 FASE 1

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Date —

Manifest —

From Mesa Futuros · Odisea

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Capex Fase 1

USD —M

P10–P90: —

DSCR (yr 5)

—×

P10–P90: —

NPV @ 8% real

USD —M

P10–P90: —

Financing gap

USD —M

P10–P90: —

P(Anexo C by COD)

—%

21 quarters · per-Q draw

P(KPI 2032 met)

—%

DSCR ≥ 1.5 ∧ NPV > 0 ∧ gates clear

DSCR position vs project-finance threshold (1.5×)

P10 — P50 — P90 plotted on a 0–10× scale. Vertical line at 1.5× = bankability threshold.

NPV distribution (1,000 stratified runs)

Vertical line at NPV = 0. Amber bars below zero, green above. Width = bucket count.

Capital stack — Anchor 0 Fase 1

Top NPV drivers (sensitivity, ±range)

Bar = ΔP50 NPV when knob swept across its range. Sign = direction.

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